Atlas/Decisions
Decision Queue

Decisions, framed against evidence

Every decision below is framed against the scenarios and evidence available at the time — and every one can be replayed to show exactly how it was made. Select any decision to understand how it was made.

PriorityDecisionOwnerStatusSupporting EvidenceNext ReviewUpdated
HighSelect primary source region for initial feedstock

Compare Brazil and Argentina flake deposits against logistics cost and qualification timeline before committing initial offtake volume.

Sourcing LeadReviewEV-0032026-03-052026-02-21
MediumPrioritize processing-site permitting track

Determine whether to begin permitting for an Imperial Valley site before feedstock contracts are finalized.

Project LeadDraftEV-002EV-0082026-03-122026-02-20
LowConfirm synthetic substitution as a hedge

Evaluated and deprioritized for the initial phase; revisit if natural flake qualification stalls.

Strategy LeadArchivedEV-0052026-04-012026-02-15
MediumApprove Imperial Valley environmental review scope

Environmental review scope approved for the candidate Imperial Valley processing site, pending final budget sign-off.

Project LeadApprovedEV-0022026-03-202026-02-22
LowAdopt geothermal power offset study

Geothermal power offset study completed and adopted into the domestic processing scenario.

Strategy LeadImplementedEV-0092026-05-012026-02-19
MediumApprove Mozambique sourcing feasibility study

Scope a feasibility study on Mozambique flake sourcing given security and logistics considerations.

Sourcing LeadDraftEV-0122026-08-082026-05-20
LowEvaluate Madagascar as tertiary source region

Assess Madagascar deposits as a tertiary diversification option alongside Brazil and Argentina.

Sourcing LeadDraftEV-0142026-08-102026-05-22
LowDefer Sri Lanka vein sourcing

Sri Lanka vein deposits deprioritized given limited achievable volume relative to flake sources.

Sourcing LeadArchivedEV-0152026-08-122026-05-24
LowTrack Tanzania rail expansion timeline

Monitor Tanzania rail expansion progress before committing to sourcing volume from that region.

Logistics LeadReviewEV-0162026-08-142026-05-26
MediumCap Brazil concentration at program ceiling

Set a maximum share of total feedstock volume sourced from Brazil to manage concentration risk.

Strategy LeadApprovedEV-0172026-08-162026-05-28
MediumScope Gulf Coast processing site alternative

Evaluate a Gulf Coast processing site as an alternative to the Imperial Valley candidate.

Project LeadDraftEV-0182026-08-182026-05-30
LowApply for Ontario incentive program

Submit an application under the Canadian critical-minerals incentive program for the Ontario candidate site.

Finance LeadReviewEV-0192026-08-202026-06-01
MediumEvaluate in-country Brazil processing

Assess capital and currency implications of processing closer to the Brazilian source deposits.

Strategy LeadDraftEV-0202026-08-222026-06-03
MediumCommission independent purification audit

Commission a third-party audit of non-domestic purification facilities to validate capacity claims.

Research LeadImplementedEV-0212026-08-242026-06-05
HighPilot domestic purification line

Approve a pilot-scale domestic purification line at the Imperial Valley site.

Project LeadApprovedEV-0232026-08-262026-06-07
HighQualify second spheronization facility

Begin qualification of a second non-domestic spheronization facility to reduce single-facility dependency.

Sourcing LeadReviewEV-024EV-0252026-08-282026-06-09
MediumExtend Cell Maker A qualification timeline

Formally extend the Cell Maker A anode qualification timeline to reflect observed schedule slippage.

Project LeadApprovedEV-0262026-08-302026-06-11
LowAssess Cell Maker B capacity constraint

Determine whether Cell Maker B can accommodate a new qualification cycle given capacity constraints.

Sourcing LeadReviewEV-0272026-09-012026-06-13
LowEvaluate independent anode producer

Assess the independent anode producer as a hedge against primary cell-maker qualification delays.

Sourcing LeadDraftEV-0282026-09-032026-06-15
MediumSecure Port of Santos throughput commitment

Negotiate a throughput commitment at Port of Santos to reduce congestion exposure.

Logistics LeadReviewEV-0292026-09-052026-06-17
LowEvaluate Port of Beira infrastructure upgrade

Assess whether infrastructure upgrades at Port of Beira would materially reduce logistics risk.

Logistics LeadDraftEV-0302026-09-072026-06-19
LowConfirm Southern California rail capacity

Confirm sufficient rail capacity is contractually available for peak-year program volumes.

Logistics LeadApprovedEV-0312026-09-092026-06-21
LowReview Vitória-Minas scheduling terms

Review shared-capacity scheduling terms on the Vitória-Minas railway.

Logistics LeadReviewEV-0322026-09-112026-06-23
MediumSecure bonded warehouse capacity

Contract bonded warehouse capacity at Long Beach ahead of first import volumes.

Logistics LeadDraftEV-0332026-09-132026-06-25
LowFinalize feedstock warehouse siting

Finalize feedstock warehouse siting relative to the confirmed processing-site layout.

Project LeadDraftEV-0342026-09-152026-06-27
LowDecline European transshipment routing

European transshipment routing deprioritized given added cost and transit time versus direct shipment.

Logistics LeadArchivedEV-0352026-09-172026-06-29
HighInitiate grid interconnection study

Formally initiate the grid interconnection study required before processing-site construction.

Project LeadApprovedEV-0362026-09-192026-07-01
LowEvaluate solar array land use approval path

Assess the land use approval path for the candidate solar array supplementing site power.

Project LeadReviewEV-0372026-09-212026-07-03
MediumConfirm Parcel A as preferred site

Confirm Parcel A as the preferred processing-site location following resolved title review.

Project LeadApprovedEV-0382026-09-232026-07-05
LowHold Parcel B as backup site

Retain Parcel B as a backup site pending rail access resolution.

Project LeadReviewEV-0392026-09-252026-07-07
HighEscalate Colorado River allocation negotiation

Escalate water allocation negotiation given its status as a binding constraint on site development.

Regional Strategy LeadReviewEV-0402026-09-272026-07-09
MediumEngage DTSC pre-application consultation

Engage California DTSC in pre-application consultation to reduce permitting timeline risk.

Permitting LeadApprovedEV-0412026-09-292026-07-11
LowTrack county zoning approval status

Monitor Imperial County zoning approval status ahead of construction scheduling.

Permitting LeadReviewEV-0422026-10-012026-07-13
MediumScope Army Corps wetlands review

Scope the federal wetlands review process tied to water infrastructure development.

Permitting LeadDraftEV-0432026-10-032026-07-15
MediumCommission emissions compliance study

Commission a study confirming processing-site emissions can meet air basin requirements.

Environmental LeadApprovedEV-0442026-10-052026-07-17
LowReview cross-border habitat considerations

Review Colorado River Delta habitat considerations relevant to water infrastructure siting.

Environmental LeadDraftEV-0452026-10-072026-07-19
MediumScope European customer qualification

Scope qualification requirements for the candidate European battery consortium customer.

Sourcing LeadDraftEV-0462026-10-092026-07-21
LowAssess grid storage customer volume

Assess realistic offtake volume from the grid storage integrator customer segment.

Sourcing LeadReviewEV-0472026-10-112026-07-23
MediumDiversify process chemical supply

Identify a second sulfuric acid supplier to reduce single-supplier dependency.

Procurement LeadDraftEV-0482026-10-132026-07-25
LowLock synthetic feedstock pricing

Evaluate locking petroleum coke feedstock pricing given recent volatility.

Procurement LeadReviewEV-0492026-10-152026-07-27
HighSubmit DOE loan guarantee application

Submit a formal application for the Department of Energy loan guarantee program.

Finance LeadReviewEV-0502026-10-172026-07-29
MediumNegotiate offtake prepayment terms

Negotiate prepayment facility terms tied to committed offtake volume.

Finance LeadDraftEV-0512026-10-192026-07-31
MediumConfirm production tax credit eligibility

Confirm program eligibility under the critical minerals production tax credit.

Finance LeadApprovedEV-0522026-10-212026-08-02
LowMonitor Mozambique policy developments

Monitor Mozambique's regulatory and export policy developments relevant to sourcing risk.

Legal CounselReviewEV-0532026-10-232026-08-04
LowMonitor Madagascar export policy

Monitor Madagascar's export policy stability relevant to tertiary sourcing plans.

Legal CounselReviewEV-0542026-10-252026-08-06
HighDetermine water allocation pathway before site selection

Decide whether new industrial water demand will require reallocation, efficiency gains, or a new supply source before any site is finalized.

Regional Strategy LeadReviewIVE-001IVE-0042026-03-102026-02-22
MediumScope lithium extraction pilot at Salton Sea

Define the scope of a pilot program to test commercial-scale direct lithium extraction ahead of a full siting commitment.

Critical Minerals LeadDraftIVE-002IVE-0032026-03-152026-02-21
LowApprove preliminary land parcel survey

Preliminary survey of undeveloped industrial parcels approved to support future siting scenarios.

Regional Strategy LeadApprovedIVE-0072026-03-252026-02-23
HighScope transmission backbone upgrade study

Determine the scope and cost of a transmission backbone upgrade before committing to semiconductor or battery-materials siting, since power generation alone will not resolve the constraint.

Regional Strategy LeadReviewIVE-0092026-03-182026-02-24
Recent Activity
Decision Drafted: Monitor Madagascar export policy2026-08-06

Monitor Madagascar export policy moved to Review.

Decision Drafted: Monitor Mozambique policy developments2026-08-04

Monitor Mozambique policy developments moved to Review.

Decision Approved: Confirm production tax credit eligibility2026-08-02

Confirm production tax credit eligibility moved to Approved.

Decision Drafted: Negotiate offtake prepayment terms2026-07-31

Negotiate offtake prepayment terms moved to Draft.

Decision Drafted: Submit DOE loan guarantee application2026-07-29

Submit DOE loan guarantee application moved to Review.